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Abby Picks, Year Five, Week Nine

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

President Joe Biden said yesterday that the average national price per gallon of gas is $3.39 compared to when he took office when it was over $5.00/gal.  Congrats Joe!

Applying similar creative math, Abby won all of her bets last week and even some that she didn’t make.  Congrats Abby!

However, upon further review, it looks like last week was a tough one.  Only one win vs six losses and eight bones dropped vs only two won tell the tale that’s wagging the dog.  She did cash in on the first hunch bet offered this year thanks to an angry Nick Saban.

Onward.

  1. East Carolina at BYU -3 –  BYU has gotten beat down three weeks in a row.  Provo gets loud tonight and the Cougars win going away.  One bone.
  2.  Illinois at Nebraska + 7 1/2 – How far have the once mighty fallen?  And, how far up have the downtrodden climbed?  The Cornhuskers will find a way to lose.  But they cover.  One bone.
  3. Kentucky + 11 1/2 at Tennessee –  Abby thinks Tennessee is very, very good.  She also thinks that they may be looking ahead to a week off and a tussle with Georgia on 11/5.   Will Levis please be healthy.  One bone.
  4.  TCU at West Virginia + 7 /12 and ML–  TCU is good.  But, they’ve been winning from behind and/or in OT for three weeks now.  Maybe they’re running on fumes a bit.  One bone on the point spread and one bone to win two bones straight up on the money line.
  5. Wake Forest -3 at Louisville –  Number 10 ranked WF is the team that no one talks about.  Their only loss is to Clemson in Clemson in overtime.  The Deamon Deacons’ offense puts up points by the minute.  Which Louisville team shows up?  Two bones.
  6. Northwestern at Iowa -11 and over 37 1/2 – To win the bet Abby needs Iowa to score at least 12 points.  This hasn’t been easy for the Hawkeyes’ inept offense all year.  They find a way at home Saturday.  Parlay two bones to win six bones.
  7.  Oregon at California +17 – The Golden Bears are at home and Oregon goes on the road after a big College Gameday home win over previously undefeated UCLA.  Abby likes dogs named Spot and likes this spot as well.  Two bones.

Jimbo and Texas A&M have been getting roasted in the media all week.   On a hunch, Abby likes the wounded and once proud Aggie underdogs at home ‘mad as hell” angle and getting 2 points versus Mississippi.

Woof!

Abby Picks, Year Five, Week Six

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Forgive Abby for last week’s poor picking.  She coughed up seven more bones than she won.   Hopefully, her bout with kennel cough has subsided this week.  She got a lot of rest, socially distanced herself, and wore a mask to help ensure a better outcome for her loyal betting patrons.

Week six features a lot of lines(pass) that could provide back door covers, so conservative is a word to the wise.

  1.  Nebraska -3 at Rutgers and Houston + 3 at Memphis –  Friday night lights usually favor the home team on a short week.  Road team Indy beating Denver last night in a real dog nap of a game gives us confidence in this parlay.  The Cornhuskers have pride and the Cougars are angry.   One bone to win three bones.
  2. Purdue +3 at Maryland and Louisville -3 at Virginia-  Two more roadies paired for multiple a multiple-bone payout.  Purdue is pretty good.  Virginia is bad. One bone to win three bones.
  3. South Carolina at Kentucky -6 – Kentucky played very well in Oxford but lost to a very good Rebel team.  South Carolina is on the road after hammering an instate directional school.  Abby likes the spot as much as the name Spot for a dog.  Two bones.
  4.  Florida St at NC State under 51 –  FSU and NC St both score plenty of points against lower-level competition.  When the going gets tough both tighten a bit.  One bone.
  5. Washington St + 13 1/2 at USC-  Can we pump the brakes on how great Lincoln Riley is?  The Oregon State game v USC is your tell for this one.  Expect USC to win but not cover.  One bone.
  6. Tennessee – 2 1/2 at LSU-  This is the surprise line of the week.  This is a lot of credit to LSU’s home stadium Death Valley and not near enough to Hendon Hooker.  Two bones.
  7. Arkansas +9 at Mississippi St- The Bulldogs bit the Aggies last week at home.  We expect another win but a close, perhaps overtime win vs. an angry Hog team.  One bone.

That’s seven out of eight road teams, nine bones wagered to win 13, and one under a total on the line this bounce-back weekend.

Woof!

 

A Taco, a Burger, and a Duck

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

When you watch a lot of the same type of programming you see a lot of the same commercials.

The intent is obvious.  Advertisers target their existing and potential customers by viewing habits and hit them with their best shot.

For example, if you’ve watched a lot of NCAA football this fall you’ve seen a lot of Taco Bell, Burger King, and AFLAC spots.  We repeat, a lot.

For no good reason this AM, we decided to dissect these three attempts at getting you out of your LayZBoy recliner and getting into your wallet.

First up we make a run for the border, although you shouldn’t say that anymore.  And, actually, that’s part of the point.   Taco Bell might be changing its image right before your eyes.

For years after it dropped that campaign, it attempted to shove too many “lipstick on a pig” creations down your throat all at a great value (read cheap) price surely ending in $.99. “Try our taco stuffed chalupa on a bun,” or something similarly unappealing like that.

Suddenly, they have the newly paired couple about to embrace on the beach, waves in the background, when the buoy falls over and makes the Taco Bell familiar gong sound.  Like Pavlov’s dogs, the female heads directly to the nearest Taco Bell.  When you need a taco, you need a taco, and you need it from Taco Bell.

It’s whimsical, its lifestyle, and it doesn’t trade on price.  If you have a brand that has value, why incessantly promote price?  Maybe Taco Bell’s brand had little value, and it’s now attempting to gain some.

We grade the initiative S for solid.

With Burger King, let’s flame broil the 30 seconds wasted straight away.  Let us count the ways.

The Burger King name limits the offerings that people will assign value to.  Quick, name another offering there besides the Whopper?  Subtly change the name already.  Think Popeyes.  It’s now calling itself Louisiana’s Kitchen more loudly by the year.

Second, change your corporate colors and uniforms.  This is a tough one.  But, if you keep doing the same things over and over again and you expect better results you define insanity someone once said.

Third, rework the mascot from head to toe.  Burger King, the character, is plastic-looking, intimidating to children, looks like Charlton Heston in Gray Lady Down, and provides no symbiotic connection.  Think Geico.  That gecko is tied at the hip to your home, boat, car, or motorcycle insurance.

And, lastly, stop offering your best product on sale every single day.  It’s not a sale anymore.  Two Whoppers for six bucks is the new price point.  Trading against yourself on price is a race to the bottom.  It’s one you can’t win, and if you do you lose anyway.

If the Home of the Whopper went out of business, would anyone notice?

We grade the initiative T for tired.  Very.

Speaking of kings, the king of football coaches, Nick Saban found 30 seconds here and there to trade in his crimson-colored wardrobe for a bright light blue blazer and shill for AFLAC.  Sometimes it’s he and the AFLAC duck, and sometimes Prime Time Neon Deion Sanders joins the two legends.

But just like how his defense can hit you directly in the jaw from the first play till the final whistle, Saban’s acting (or lack thereof) is something that you cannot unsee.  You focus on it, not the message.

When paired with the duck and its iconic quack of AFLAC, it does make an impression.  Goal number one is to get the audience to remember you.  Sometimes that’s good, and sometimes not so much.  Adding Sanders, who is now coaching too, looks downright uncomfortable on air.

And about that nasty blue color that overrides the entire spot-terrible.

Saban doesn’t need AFLAC’s money.   AFLAC doesn’t need Saban.

The duck isn’t lame, but the spot should be a lame duck.

We grade the initiative B for barn.  What?  As Mr. Wonderful would say on Shark Tank, “take the video out behind the barn and humanely dispose of it.”

And, now we’re set for the second-half kickoff.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Abby Picks, Year 4, Week 10

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

When you’re hot, you’re hot.  And, through nine weeks Abby is en fuego.

As November rolls in her record stands at 33 wins and 23 losses, and 51 impressive bones won versus only 32 lost.  And, hopefully, her hunch won you a bunch last week.  It stands tall at 7-1.

Hopefully, she didn’t spend too much time patting (pawing) herself on the back this past week.  In the handicapping business you’re only as good as your next pick.

Week 10 is upon us.  But be wary.  There are plenty of double-digit lines, big road favorites, and trap games.  Abby’s playing it close to the dog vest.  Bet too much this week on a game and you might need some hair of the dog on Sunday.

  1. Army at Air Force -2 1/2 — Abby thanks all for their service, including service dogs.  The game, rightfully so is a tossup.  She’ll take the high elevation home-field advantage along with a stout D.  One bone.
  2. NC State at Florida St +3 and Clemson -4 at Louisville — It’s a parlay reminiscent of the old days of the ACC when there were Tigers and Seminoles and not much else.  Two bones to win six bones.
  3. Houston -13 at South Florida — Like mentioned above, when your hot, you’re hot.  It’s hot temperature-wise in Tampa, but the Cougars are even hotter.   Abby’s been riding the hot hand of Dana Holgerson. Houston covers late.  One bone.
  4. Wake Forest at North Carolina +2 1/2 — It feels like the line is off a good bit here.  Vegas wants you on the WF side.  Abby, as you know, likes to zig when others zag.  One bone.
  5. Liberty at Ole Miss over 67 — A point a minute plus a touchdown is plenty of scoreboard action.  Ole Lane and Hugh are going to pull out all of the stops.  One bone.
  6. Baylor at TCU + 6 1/2 — The steady hand at the wheel is Dave Aranda for Baylor.  The steady hand that was at the TCU wheel for 20 years was Gary Patterson.  Abby hates cats but loves dead cat bounces.  One bone.
  7. Michigan St at Purdue +3 — It feels like the line is a good bit off here, part two.  Purdue took down then #2 Iowa in Iowa after a big win last month.  Now, the Spartans hit the road in a similar situation.  Buyer beware.  One bone.
  8. LSU at Alabama – 28 1/2 —  Two years ago Coach O made much over the win in Tuscaloosa over Alabama.  Maybe too much.  WIll St. Nick have mercy on O’s soul?  He might in the fourth quarter, but by then it’ll be 49-10.  Two bones.

The Air Force v. Army game in Colorado is an early Saturday kickoff.  The over/under is a crazy low 37 1/2.  On a crazy hunch, Abby likes the under.

Ten bones wagered to win sixteen.

Four chalks, four dogs, six home teams, two road warriors, one parlay, one over, one under.

Woof!

 

 

 

O No

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Ed Note: This article was originally published Monday.  An email out glitch prevented the subscribers from knowing that until Tuesday. Sorry.

BBR attempts each time it puts virtual pen to virtual paper to deliver a story that has an interest to a diverse national readership.

Coach Ed Orgeron of the Fighting Tigers of LSU was hardly that when he took over a proud football program that was stuck in neutral due to a stubborn coach named Les Miles.  Three years later a storybook15-0 season and an NCAA Championship made him just that.  Throw in some folksy “down on the bayou” logic and a big dose of the biggest frog anyone has ever had in his throat and you have a human interest story as well.

So how did this rags to riches story turn back to rags just 20 months later?  One of our staffers is quite close to the program and shares his thoughts this AM.

  1. In the SEC winning is the only thing.  A 9-8 record since the 15 and 0 run highlighted by a listless performance at Kentucky a week ago is reason number one.  When you make $9 million a year you don’t go 9-8.  When you coach in the SEC and make “only,” say, $4.5 million you don’t go 9-8 and survive either.
  2. Winning cures everything.  Losing exposes everything.  Orgeron’s actions while in front of the team, representing the team, and in his personal life away from the team had enough yellow flags in the last 20 months that they collectively went from a concern to a strong reason number two for his departure.
  3. O has never been a coordinator on either side of the ball.  Therefore, he needed to surround himself with two good ones.  He ran through OC’s like Auburn ran through his rush defense.  It went from Ensminger to Canada (who he had a fistfight with four games into his tenure) to Ensminger/Brady to Lineham to Peetz in five years.  That’s five coordinators, two buyouts, and too many losses in too short of a timeframe.
  4. He also gave then DC Dave Aranda, now a successful head coach at Baylor, a nudge out of the door late in the great 2019 season.  Ed wanted more pressure, more four-man fronts.  He said so publicly.  Out goes Aranda, in comes a three-year guaranteed contract for Bo Pelini.  LSU’s defense in 2020 was historically its worst EVER statistically speaking.  Pelini was bought out after one year.
  5.  What were they?  One was when he failed to dodge a question posed by a Fox News anchor in an interview about football life with the covid problem in 2020.  With little time remaining on-air she pivoted and asked what O thought of then-President Trump.  Instead of separating himself and the team from politics he warmly embraced Trump.  “President Trump is doing a great job.”   O is entitled to his opinion, but he needed to keep it to himself as the leader of the team.  It divided the team and the school’s leadership that he spoke out.  Free speech is no longer free.
  6. Two, the numerous off-field dalliances of a newly single man should have been private but were too public in today’s video and social media world. It’s his private life until it’s not.  The optic caused concern for a school with way too many Title IX transgressions.
  7.  Three, he had one too many “new friends” attending practice with or without their children running around like they, not LSU, owned the place.  It was a minor distraction or three that added fuel to the brush fire.  It showed a lack of focus on the job at hand when the hand that feeds him had just jumped his contract from four to nine million a year and guaranteed the next four years.
  8.  He had one too many brush-ups with fans or foes.  The second to last was calling out an overserved UCLA supporter and challenging him to a fight pregame.  “Bring your ass on in your sissy blue shirt,” Orgeron said.  The Tigers had little fight during the game losing 38-27 against a perceived inferior opponent in game one of this year that needed marked improvement from a 5-5 prior year.  The last was taking a question on his weekly radio show from a prankster who Oregeron then told that he “would find a fishing hole for.”  Individually harmless enough, collectively a sore spot.
  9. What’s next for O?  He’s going to finish out the year as HC for the Tigers then move on.  So, Orgeron is the interim coach replacing Orgeron until year’s end. Odd?  Maybe somewhat.  Then, we’ll see.  His days as a head coach are done.  Maybe a friend like Lane Kiffin could hire him as a defensive line coach which would be a back to the future move for both.  Or, his personality could fit well on local radio assuming anyone could understand him over the air.  Or, he could take his $17 million dollars that LSU will buy him out with over the next 18 months and sail away with his companion of choice.
  10. What’s next for LSU?  What is overlooked by recency bias is that LSU has been on a two decades-long run.  2019 was the best of the years, but 2003 and 2007 ended with LSU hoisting the most important trophy of all.  In 2011, they finished runner-up.  It’s a top ten job in America.  An argument could be made that it’s top 5.  The AD has a chance to do what O ultimately failed to do-hire a great person, trust them to do their jobs, and keep your nose at least clean enough.

Let the name game speculation begin.

Ten Piece Nuggets-NCAA Football

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

If you’ve never been to the Flora-Bama bar, you should put it on your bucket list.  No really.  Bama has the best team football team in the world and 1/2 of the best bar in the world as well.  It sits 1/2 in Florida and 1/2 in Bama, right on the state line, fifty yards from the Gulf of Mexico.

  1. Do you think that Nick Saban coach of the best football team in the world stewed for the last 12 months that his former OC, and chief needler,  Lane Kiffen put 617 yards of offense on Saban’s pride and joy defense last year?  Saban gets mad and gets even.
  2. Speaking of defense, Georgia hasn’t allowed a single point in its last eight quarters of SEC play, pitching two shutouts in a row over hapless Vanderbilt and upstart Arkansas.  Four Georgia running backs rushed for 87, 68, 57, and 48 yards.  Deep bench.  Oh, and the O scored 99 points total in those same two games.
  3. Should we pronounce the winner of the SEC Championship game the national champ?  Probably.  Raise your hand if you don’t think the game will pit Bama versus Georgia? Saban’s win makes him 23 and 0 against his former assistant coaches.  Could Kirby Smart outsmart Saban in December to make it 23-1?  Are we getting ahead of ourselves?   Saban would say yes.  We’d say no.
  4.  But, the BIG 10 asks, “what about us?”  Iowa owned Maryland(51-14) on Friday and Penn St owned Indiana(24-0) on Saturday to check in at numbers 3 and 4 respectively in the AP top 25.  They’ll meet Saturday on the field near the cornfields in Iowa City.
  5.  That matchup will feature two top 5 BIG 10 teams for the first time since 1997 that one of them isn’t named THE Ohio St University.  Both Iowa and Penn State have beaten two ranked opponents already.  So this game is going to have a significant impact one way or another as one of them makes it three.
  6.  But, the Cincinnati Bearcats ask, “what about us?”  Cincy checks in proudly at #6 after going into South Bend and bouncing the Irish 24-13.  Cincinnati’s defense isn’t Georgia ferocious, but it’s mighty strong.  The Bearcats showed against ND they can perform on big stages. They have only one marginally ranked (24 SMU) left on their schedule.  Is that good or bad for them?  It depends on how the others ahead and slightly behind them play out.
  7.  And, 5-0 Oklahoma wants to make their way into the big boy talk.  At seven they’ll get a chance to pad their resume, as the winners of 13 straight are headed to Dallas to face # 21 Texas in the Red River Shootout next Saturday.
  8. Who is still undefeated besides all of the above-mentioned?  If you guessed Michigan, Michigan St., Coastal Carolina, Kentucky, Wake Forest, Oklahoma St., SMU, and San Diego St. you’re watching way too much football on Saturdays.
  9. That thud you heard late Saturday night was previously undefeated and now # 8 Oregon laying a big duck egg v Stanford. Arizona St is the only other PAC12 ranked team.  Oregon’s body of work includes a fine win at THE, so they’ll stay in the conversation for now.  But the PAC 12 playoff conversation is hanging on by a thread until something or things really shake up the standings.
  10. Although it could have been a reverberation from College Station where preseason #7 Texas A&M dropped out of the top 25 with a certified stinker of a loss to Mississippi St after losing to Arkansas the week before.  Jimbo’s contract was extended and guaranteed before the season started. The extension will increase his salary to $9 million on Jan. 1 and $9.15 million on Jan. 1, 2023.  After that, his salary will increase by $100,000 each year through 2031.  That’s good work if you can get it.  A&M has opened as an 18 point dog to Bama this week.
  11. (Lagniappe) Iowa is favored by 3 over Penn St., as is Michigan at Nebraska, as is Oklahoma v Texas in The Red River Shootout that you can’t call The Red River Shootout anymore.

Out.

Ten Piece Nuggets-NCAA Football

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Well, if week one was crazy, then week two was cray, cray, as they say.

We have a few observations as you might imagine.  Ten to be exact.

  1.  Alabama had mercy on Mercer.  After leading 31-0 at halftime, Bama cruised to a 48-14 victory.  Predictably, this made Nick Saban unhappy. His rants are fun to watch unless you’re sitting in front of him.  If you’ve seen this movie before you know it’s purely using the press to motivate his team into how good he thinks they can be.  Like him, or not, it’s vintage stuff from the legend that he is.
  2. Oregon provided the PAC 12 with another big statement going into the Horseshoe and taking Ohio St. down with malice. The score was 35-28, but Oregon was in control from the first snap.  Though, UCLA’s week one win v LSU looks a bit less shiny after the Tigers mailed in at home in week two beating a terrible McNeese St team 34-7.  Oregon won the line of scrimmage against a major contender for the playoffs in their house.  The “not physical enough” knock on the PAC 12 might be waining a tad.  Mario Cristobal take a bow!
  3. Fifth-ranked Texas A&M lost their starting quarterback, then nearly lost to Colorado.  An 11 play 77-yard grind late in the fourth quarter saved the Aggie day, 10-7.  The Aggie D is playoff-level good.  The O, and especially without Haynes King, isn’t.
  4. Clemson scored only three last week vs Georgia. They held South Carolina St. to only three this week.  But, like Jimmy, who cracked corn, nobody cares.  The Tigers 49-3 win is meaningless.  And, their schedule is weaker than Biden’s defense of the way he pulled out of Afghanistan.  No team currently ranked inside of the top 25 is on it.  A trip to Pittsburgh looks like their only possible road bump from here.  But, will 11-1 against fish wrapping paper be enough to get to the final four?
  5.  Notre Dame is replacing their leprechaun mascot with Houdini.  A week after surviving sudden death v Florida St., the mighty Fighting Irish got a last-minute touchdown in South Bend to overcome Toledo 32-29.  Wow.  Toledo.  And, Florida St. lost on a last-second hope and a prayer heave by Jacksonville St. this week.  Wow.  That doesn’t sound like the two-game resume of an eighth-ranked team.
  6. Metaphorically, a “Trojan horse” has come to mean any trick or stratagem that causes a target to invite a foe into a securely protected bastion or place.  USC is no Trojan horse.  They invited Stanford into the Collisium Saturday and the Cardinal took what they wanted.  Stanford was a 17 point underdog and won 42-28, or straight up by 14. You wonder how much sucker money went to the Trojans’ side of the line in Vegas. So much for the return of USC to the national landscape.  The LA Times has seen enough of head coach Kim Helton.  We’ve seen this Hollywood act before, haven’t we?
  7. Texas got a taste of the SEC that it will join in a year or two.  Arkansas was picked to finish last in the SEC West this year but worked Texas over and over.  Arkansas won’t finish last.  Three hundred and thirty-three rushing yards later, the scoreboard clock thankfully showed 0:00.  Arkansas rushed the ball 47 times for a hog-like 7.1 yds per carry average.  The scoreboard showed Arkansas 40, Texas 21.  The game wasn’t nearly that close.  Hopefully, Steve Sarkesian isn’t hungover this AM.  The Longhorn fans sure are.
  8.  Last week Penn St. and Wisconsin set the game back 25 years with their three yards and a pile of dirt fight.  Iowa and Iowa St. one-upped the Big 10 mudders this week.  Iowa completed under 50% of its 21 passes and rushed 39 times for a 1.7 yards per carry average.  And, they WON 27-17!  ND isn’t good enough to be ranked 8th.  Iowa isn’t good enough to be ranked 9th.  And, Iowa St surely isn’t good enough to be ranked 10th.
  9.  Cincinnati agreed to join the BIG 12 earlier this week.  On Saturday they took care of more business beating Murray St. 42-7 to go to 2-0 on the season.  Cincy is ranked a sneaky 7th.  BYU, Houston, and UCF also agreed to join the Big 12 after Texas and Oklahoma take their talents to the SEC soon.  The Big 12 only had ten teams, and are losing two, but gaining four.  Got that?  There really will be 12 teams one day once again.  But BIG?  Meh.
  10.  We borrowed the following from ESPN, cause we think it’s an interesting gambling oddity at the least.  Air Force topped Navy 23-3 in the first game between military academies this season.  And the result fits nicely into one of the most consistent trends in college football. Since 2005, 39 of 49 military games have failed to hit the Las Vegas total. Saturday’s over/under was set at an impossibly low 39.5, and yet the matchup never came close to eclipsing that total. Air Force hosts Army on Nov. 6, so mark your calendars to bet on that one, too.

Jury duty for one of our staff members beckons.   It’s an honor, your honor!

A Band of Brothers

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Every episode except the very first of the critically acclaimed Showtime hit series Ray Donovan began with the screen dark and Liev Schrieber saying “previously on Ray Donovan.”

And in the 30-seconds that followed very seldom was the recap that didn’t involve a bat to the kneecap, or a punch to the gut, or worse.   For all of their problems, the fictitious Irish heritage Donovan family would quickly band together and never backed down. If you picked a fight with Mickey, Ray, Terry, Bunchy, half-brother Daryll, and even Abby, you got more than you wanted back from the fighting Irish.

And, almost as predictable as Ray throwing a haymaker you knew it would only be a matter of time in today’s world that cancel culture would want to pick a fight with Notre Dame over their Fighting Irish nickname.

When journalists at the Indianapolis Star reviewed a recent survey on college mascots, they focused on the fourth most offensive on the list — Notre Dame’s leprechaun who cheers on the Fighting Irish.

So, The Star asked the university for their response to the survey that asked 1,266 participants to rate 128 mascots at colleges and universities in order of best, worst, sexiest, creepiest, and offensive.

Be careful what you ask for.  “Our symbols stand as celebratory representations of a genuine Irish heritage at Notre Dame, a heritage that we regard with respect, loyalty, and affection,” the ND statement said.

Notre Dame said its nickname began as a term used by other schools to mock its athletic teams. At the time, anti-Catholicism and anti-immigrant sentiments were strong.  Notre Dame was largely populated by ethnic Catholics.  They were mostly Irish, but also Germans, Italians, and Poles.  The university was a natural target for ethnic slurs, it said.

As the football team gained national prominence in the early 1900s, journalists began to use the ‘fighting Irish’ phrase in their stories. ‘Soon, Notre Dame supporters took what was once an epithet into an ‘in-your-face’ expression of triumph,’ the university said.  In your face, they said.

By 1927 the nickname was officially adopted.

As for the leprechaun, Notre Dame said it is “symbolic of the Fighting Irish and intentionally a caricature.”  Therefore, “the intent is to recognize the determination of the Irish people and, symbolically, the university’s athletes.”

So to recap as Liev does, the opposition to Notre Dame called the team the “insulting” name, and the press wrote of them as such. ND then turned the tables and nearly 100 years later still proudly wears the moniker like a badge of courage.  In your face, indeed.

After all, if you’re going to pick a fight it’s best that you not pick one with the Fighting Irish.

They’ll band together like three and a half Donovan brothers.

What an interesting twist.  The woke actually tried to wake themselves.

Score one for history.

Perception v. Reality

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

The 2021 College Football Playoff National Championship is a week from this evening in Miami.  We’re down to two teams.  It’s going to be a dandy.  It’s Perception vs Reality.

In the semifinals, perception and reality collided as well.  We questioned if Notre Dame even belonged.  We questioned why Ohio St. even got the chance as eight-point underdogs to Clemson.

We had a perception of how 2020 was going to be as well.  How did that turn out?

Notre Dame seeded fourth lost by 17 to one-seeded Alabama.  Second seed Clemson lost by 21 to the third-seeded Ohio St.  So, based on results, if ND didn’t belong, did Clemson?

Dabo Swinney spent the post-game trying to explain why his defense was shredded for nearly half a hundred points and over 700 yards.  He told the world that he needed to better prepare his team.  In other words, we were the better team, we just didn’t coach ’em up well enough.

Brian Kelly spent the post-game fielding question after question trying to explain why ND even deserved to be there after yet another beatdown in the final four, much less a major bowl.  As they say in the finance world, past performance is no indication of future results.  Or, is it?

Ah, there it is.  Dabo’s Tigers have won it all or at least the semi in the recent past time and again.  Kelly’s Irish have fallen like St. Pat’s Day Irishman walking out of the local pub yet again.

It’s perception v reality.  We perceived Clemson belonged.  We knew ND didn’t.  One gets a pass while it’s getting pounded in the semis.  The other gets pounded for getting a pass into the semis.

What about an eight-team playoff you say?  The average margin of victory in the seven years of the playoffs in the semis is 24 points per blowout.  If the semi losers can’t hang with the finalists, what makes you think the next four in would be any better?  Perception does.

Put the five Power 5 conference champs in, one independent, and two deserving wild cards you say?

The ACC went 0-6 in bowl games. What makes any conference champs deserving?   Perception does.

But, Ohio St. didn’t win enough games to get in.  Hmm.  Clemson beat a bunch of also-rans in seems.  Hmm.

One independent?  This sounds like a nod to ND all over again.  And, why only one?  Or, why any?

Two wild card teams?  Sure.  It’s what you have now, but you’re adding two more.  Good luck to them.

Hey, why not an inclusive minority entrant every year as well?  We digress.  Yellow ribbons for all.  And, again.

“Team X would have given ND a better game!”  Good thing it’s Monday, cause that’s Monday morning quarterbacking with your eyeballs.  Did those same eyeballs think Clemson was better than Ohio St.?  Reality check.

Texas A&M deserved to be in.   They didn’t win a conference.  They got worked by Bama.  But, didn’t everybody?  It’s your perception once again.  If you go undefeated in the regular season you remove any doubt.

Unless you are Cincinnatti, that is.  “Cincinnati deserved to be in.”  Did they beat a bunch of also-rans, too?  The committee’s perception said as much.  And, a loss to two-loss Georgia, no matter how well played, is a loss.

Kirk Herbstreit said, “Nobody would want to be playing Oklahoma right now!”  That might be true.  But to get there you have to win games in September just like November.   And, if ND gets pummeled for past performance how about Oklahoma?  They’re 0-3 in the playoffs, including a 63-28 shellacking by LSU last year.

Bring back the computerized BCS system.  Its only bias is the perception of its programmers.  To think just a few years back sportswriters actually wrote, “we have to get rid of this computer system, it has no idea who the best teams on the field are.”

Come Monday night Perception (Bama) is favored over Reality (Ohio St) by 8.  You know Bama is the best team, don’t you?

The reality is that Vegas builds big hotels with fancy marble, fountains, and statues.  They use our perceptions as the foundation.

 

 

 

 

Abby Takes Down Vegas, Yr 3, Wk 13

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Like the calendar year of 2020 that began with so much promise, Abby’s picking prowess ran hot for a while.  Unfortunately, three straight weeks of average to below have sunk the season longs to a dog paddle slightly below water level.

For the season the won/loss/tie sits at 30-34-1.  The money bones are up 50-47, though that’s now a bit on the bookies’ side when the juice is factored in.  The hunch bet continues a stock market like turnaround.  Once at 1-4, it’s now at 5-4.  Staff members rejected the suggestion this week to rename it the Tesla/Netflix bet.

It’s conference championship week.   Abby’s going to wait a week to start the NFL picks.

  1.  The Alabama Coronation Ball, aka the SEC Championship, pits Florida with Pitts dressing out this week against the Tide L Wave Goodbye to the Competition.  Alabama will win, it’s only a question of how many.  Abby likes a sneaky under 74 and 1/2.  Two bones.
  2.  UAB v Marshall -5 1/2 – Conference USA, with more stones than the Big 10 and PAC 12 played a near-full slate of games in this year of the COVID-19. Heck, they even started sooner than the SEC.  Marshall led the herd, and the Thundering Herd will cover this evening in Abby’s Friday Night special.  It should be noted that she took Arizona +11 v Arizona St last Friday night in a Sun Devil 70-7 win, but we digress.   One bone.
  3.  USC v Oregon under 65 – Oregon is filling in for Washington in the PAC 12 Championship Game.  Isn’t that fitting?  The league that couldn’t start, then did, can’t finish without a hitch either.  And, give her Oregon(+3) as an outright win would not surprise. Two bone parlay to win six.
  4.  Minnesota at Wisconsin -12 and 1/2 –  This line makes no doggone sense to Abby.  None.  The Badgers have scored a total of 20 points in their last three contests, or roughly Bama’s average on its first three drives weekly.  The winner of the game receives Paul Bunyan’s Axe, a tradition that started in 1948 after the first trophy, the Slab of Bacon, disappeared after the 1943 game when the Badgers were meant to turn it over to the Golden Gophers.  Inexplicably Abby likes Whiskey (so does her grandfather, but we digress again) to cover.  Two bones.
  5. Illinois at Penn St -15 – We repeat.  This line makes no doggone sense to Abby.  Could the Fighting Illini get the old dead cat bounce?  Lovie Smith is loved no more in Champaign.  Abby has a strong dislike for cats dead or alive, but you have to pick one.  Take the Nittany Lions.  Two bones.
  6. Clemson -10 1/2 v Notre Dame – This line screams “take ND.”  In the rematch, much is at stake for the Tigers.   A late cover it is.   One bone.  If you’re looking for value in the game ND on the ML is +300.

Texas A&M has a lot to play for v Tennessee Saturday.  A Clemson loss would put them in the final four.  THE has a lot to play for v Northwestern in the Big 10 Championship.  A win likely will put them in the final four.  On a hunch, bet both Tennessee plus 14 and 1/2 and under 56 and 1/2 in the Northwestern v. THE game.  Abby expects the Aggies to win but not cover.  She also expects THE to work Northwestern, but not over the total.   These are two separate hunch bets.

Woof!