NFL

Abby Takes Down the NFL

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Abby was taking some grief down at the doggie parlor yesterday morning.   Enough already, she barked.  Growing tired of getting hounded about her refusal to allow her expertise in NCAA football to bare its teeth in the NFL, she relented.

So, with her winter coat coiffed just so, here are the picks that you can bank that will make your stimulus check look like the measly dog treat that it is.

LA Rams at Green Bay -6 and 1/2–  The most important benefit to getting the no. one seed in the NFL playoffs is actually two-fold.  One, at the most important time you get a week off to heal your aching bones.  Two, you get to stay home and tackle a team that just laid it all out there the week before and now must travel.  The Rams have the best D in the NFL.  The Packers statistically have the best O.  In these days and times great O beats great D, especially if it’s on the frozen tundra.

          Baltimore + 2 and 1/2 at Buffalo – Buffalo will be a tough home team out.  They’re more talented 1-45 than most people realize.  And, they are having fun and playing loose.  Abby says that Lamar Jackson will make just one more big play than Josh Allen.

          Cleveland +10 at Kansas City – No one believes in the Browns except their fans.   The Chiefs’ last six games have been decided by 6 points or less.  They’ve won all six.  Cleveland is playing much like Buffalo.  They’re having fun.  Ole’ Andy Reid will dial up a special play for Mahomes and the Browns will lose a heartbreaker to add to the lore of being the Browns, but expect a cover.  Double-digit NFL dogs have a way of doing that.

Tampa Bay v New Orleans -3 –  It’s well-known that the Saints view this year as Super Bowl or bust.  They haven’t lived up to their season-long excellence in the last three years in bad playoff losses.  The Bucs are playing better than they have all year and it’s tough to beat a team three times in one year as the Saints will need to do.  It’s also tough to beat Tom Brady.  But, this is Brees’ last year and the Saints D will gift wrap him a win late.

As a public service announcement please know that Abby wore a mask and socially distanced at all times at the parlor.

 

 

2021-Part II

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

We asked yesterday.  Who could have predicted that 2020 would bring us so many 12 to 6 curve balls and 95 MPH knee-high outside corner strikes?  No one could actually.

Who could know what 2021 could possibly have in store for us in the sports and news world?  Well, BBR of course.

And we delivered our foresight on the first six months.  Today take a look at the second half of the 12-month journey below.

You’ll be glad you did and then let the champagne flow.

July-  Jimmy Fallon celebrates the Fourth by drinking a fifth on The Tonight Show.  NBC fires him on the sixth.  Courtside, Hunter Biden watches the NBA Finals held in China for the first time ever.  LeBron is named MVP of the series, retires, and is named US Diplomat to China.  Joe Biden calls and jubilantly  congratulates “LeBron and his Cleveland 49ers on the championship.”

August-  Trump’s Agent Orange TV show is canceled due to low ratings.  Trump calls it fake news and demands a recount of the viewership.  The dog days of summer roll on with record highs in the California desert reaching 127 degrees.  Gavin Newsom, poolside from his villa in Cabo, issues a mandate for all Californians to stay indoors till 2022.  President Biden announces that he and Dr. Jill are headed to “Margaret’s Vineyard” for a well-earned summer getaway.   Mark Zuckerberg creates a Facebook spinoff soon to IPO called Shitfacedbook aimed at the inebriated crowd.

September-  President Biden is hospitalized briefly after his ninth Covid vaccination.  He forgot about getting the first eight.  A lasting side effect seems to be that his face has turned pale green.  AOC proposes that the 95 trillion dollar Green New Deal be renamed in Biden’s honor.  The Senate sends a bill to Biden recommending that Labor Day no longer be recognized as it’s prejudicial against the unemployed.  The NFL kicks off another season with no kickoffs now a rule-safety first.

October- Dr. Fauci declares that the NFL face mask screwed on the helmet might help prevent the spread of Covid or might not.  Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence throws for 345 yards as the Jaguars beat the KC Chiefs in London 37-17.  The hit TV series Yellowstone passes the 200th killing mark in one year in a very rural community milestone.  Nancy Pelosi’s fifth facelift is free thanks to the “buy four, get one free” promo at Dr. 90210.

November- The Smithsonian gets the very last necktie ever for sale at Macy’s.  It’s put on display on a male mannequin in a phone booth smoking a Camel.  Tesla’s stock price hits $3000 a share, up a paltry 500% from 2020.  Scientists warn that Apple watches can cause cancer (and break legs) in lab rats when worn for over 12 hours a day.   The Dog Pound in Cleveland is rabid as the Browns head to December 12-0.

December- The Army beats Navy 28-3 to complete a 12-0 season but is left out of the FBS playoffs.   Hunter Biden is rushed to the emergency room after attempting to snort a hot marshmallow around the campfire at Camp David.  Joe Biden thanks Doc Martens for the successful extraction and reiterates to the press how proud he and his wife “Dr. Jane” are of their son.     Tampa Bay finishes 7-9 and cites Tom Brady’s time away from the team filming AARP commercials in season as a distraction.  Covid is no more, but Santa is pulled over and cited for not wearing a mask while flying over Cuomo’s New York.

2020 is no more.  2021 will soar.

Thanks for being a part of BBR.

Happy New Year!!!

 

 

GB, KC, I, and LV

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

What did 61,946 people do all together on January 15th, 1967?  If you said they watched live from their wooden bench seats in the Los Angeles Coliseum as the Green Bay Packers beat the Kansas City Chiefs 35-14 in the very first Super Bowl played you were right.

A lot has changed since the first and this season’s upcoming Super Bowl LV (that’s 55), and a lot hasn’t.

It was the smallest crowd in SB history.  Leave it to uninterested Californians, even back then, to set the low mark.  But, we digress.

It was also played three weeks earlier than the date (Feb 7, 2021) that the final two teams will play LV.  Never forget that more games mean more money.  And acutely, more playoff games mean way more TV money.

No teams had bye weeks back then.  If you made the playoffs, you played off that next week.  And, only four teams in total made the playoffs.  The NFC had 15 teams while the AFC had nine.  This was prior to the next year’s major realignment.

Today 32 teams compete in two conferences that each has 16 teams.  And, for the first time ever, 14 teams (7 from each conference) will advance.

Importantly, the best regular-season record from each will have a one-week bye.  And, with one week remaining, who is in the driver’s seat for the one seed and that very valuable week of rest?  Why it’s the NFC Green Bay Packers and the AFC Kansas City Chiefs.

Maybe not so much has changed after all.  Or, maybe it has.

The popular saying that “defense wins championships” might be a bit dated.  It turns out that scoring points, and lots of them, attract even more viewers than ever.  And more viewers mean more money.  So, over the last 55 years time and again, the NFL has changed old rules and created new ones that provide the offense with a more distinct advantage by the year.

Now, if you throw in a quarterback or two that can buy more time with his feet, run for a first down when pressured, and still throw a tight spiral through a tight window, you’ve got points and points.

And Green Bay and Kansas City had just that in Bart Starr and Len Dawson.  In fact, they still do and a whole lot more.  They have the likely first and second-place finishers for the league MVP trophy in Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes.

Rodgers is a young 37 years old and seeking a second Super Bowl win.  He’s on a shortlist of the best QB’s to play in the last 15 years.  Mahomes is a mature 25 years young and is seeking his second consecutive Super Bowl win.  The QB list of the now and the future begins with his name.

Rodgers runs when he has to, while Mahomes runs when he wants to.  Both can break the hearts of a defense that forces a difficult third down and has done everything right.  That is until it hasn’t.

Green Bay can clinch the bye with a win over Chicago this week.  Kansas City already has.  The route to 55 will go through cold KC and colder GB.

Somewhere up there Vince Lombardi and Hank Stram are looking down and smiling about what might be yet to come.

And LA can relax.   After 55 years a pandemic will restrict the number of fans to far fewer than 61,946 in Tampa.

 

Ten Piece Nuggets- Sports

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

We listened.  We learned.  You want your nuggets and you want them on Monday.

It’s only four days till Christmas.  Get some exercise after this helping or you’ll feel like a stuffed turkey all week.

  1.  The final CFP rankings are in and let the debate begin, er, continue.  It’s easy to get the no-doubters out of the way.  Alabama is the best team in the US and the second isn’t too close.  Clemson avenged an earlier loss to Notre Dame by walloping the fighting Irish by 24 Saturday to claim the second spot.
  2. But the fun/controversy starts from there.  Does Notre Dame belong as the fourth seed after the walloping?  Yes says the selection committee chairman.  CFP chairman Gary Barta explained the decision to include the Irish over No. 5 Texas A&M, saying it was “based on the complete analysis of the résumé” and the Irish had an additional win over a ranked team.
  3. And, more than a few “experts” and pundits aren’t sure that #3 THE Ohio St. even belongs.  The Buckeyes played in only six games as three were squashed by a bug as opposed to the other way around.  Aggie Coach Jimbo Fisher, he of the left out fifth rated A&M team, is amongst the dissenters.  Fisher had taken aim at Ohio State’s schedule following the Aggies’ win over Tennessee on Saturday.   “Seven straight SEC wins,” Fisher said. “Some schools ain’t even playing seven games.”  We thought “ain’t” ain’t a word, but we digress.  Fisher and his $75 can talk the talk, but they head to the Orange Bowl as a consolation prize none the less.
  4. So in the end, THE passed the eye test with fewer letters(games) on that wonky triangular chart. Close one eye and read all of line four, please.  They travel to the Sugar Bowl as 6.5 point dogs to Clemson.  It’s a rematch of last year’s 2 v 3 that Clemson won.
  5. Alabama heads to the Rose Bowl in Arlington, TX to begin its coronation as a big 17.5 point favorite over ND.  Wait, isn’t the Rose Bowl played in Rose Bowl Stadium in Pasadena, CA?  Yep, it normally (read as always) is.  However, this is the year of, well, you know.  The game was moved from Pasadena, California, to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, because of the growing number of COVID-19 cases in Southern California, along with the inability for players’ and coaches’ families to attend because of state restrictions during the pandemic.
  6. BBR reached out to Cali Governor Gavin Newsome, who declined the Rose Bowl’s request for an exemption to the state’s tough stance, for comment.  We were told that he was dining at the French Laundry Restaurant all the while trying to convince Elon Musk to keep Tesla in Cali and not move it to Texas as well.   Tough times.  Newsome, facing a recall, could use some LL Cool J right about now.  The petition has 844k signatures and needs 1.5 million by March to force a vote.  We wonder if people can mail in their signature on the recall vote during these unprecedented times, but we digress once more.
  7.  Unlike the Lexus December to Remember yearly jingle, this bowl season might be one to forget.  There will be only 29 bowl games in all, down from 45 a year ago.  Sixteen were canceled.  Twenty-one teams opted out.  You need not have a winning record to play.   Army had a nine-win season and they were left out.  The SEC has 12 teams playing, six with a losing record.  The PAC-12 has two.
  8. In the NFL Antonio Brown caught his first TD pass since September 2019 as Tampa Bay completed a comeback from a 17-0 hole against Atlanta.  It was the second-biggest comeback ever for the Tampa Bay franchise.  For Atlanta, it was yet another come from ahead defeat.  The latest is the second time Tom Brady turned the trick.  Remember Atlanta leading New England 28-3 in Super Bowl LI?  Atlanta made NFL history earlier this season as the first team to lose twice in one season while holding a 15-point-plus lead in the fourth quarter. The Falcons have blown leads of more than 10 points seven times since 2015!
  9. Rookie Jalen Hurts made a strong case that he should continue as the Philadelphia Eagles’ starter, tossing three touchdowns and running for another in a wild 33-26 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. Hurts has pumped life into the Philly team in two weeks.  Whining Carson Wentz weighed in.   Sources told ESPN’s Adam Schefter that Wentz is not pleased with the way things have unfolded in the organization and wants to move on from the Eagles if the current situation continues.  Wentz went there.
  10. There is NO QB controversy in Kansas City.  If you caught any of the KC 32-29 win over New Orleans yesterday, you saw “the best quarterback in all of the land.”  Mahomes can do it all.   He buys time and sucks defenders to him only to pass over, around, behind, and backward like no other.  He’s the highest-paid QB for a reason.  It’s because he’s the best QB in the NFL.  If you were starting an NFL team from scratch and could pick anyone at all to lead it, Mahomes would be your man.  Meanwhile, Drew Brees has some rust to shake off if New Orleans has any hope of seeing the Chiefs seven weeks from now in Tampa for Super Bowl LV.

It’s a short week.  Today is hump day.

Fourth and Long

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

When the NFL calendar turns to mid-December the season is all but lost for those that have lost way more often than they have won.  Desperation, despair, depression, and disgust are all prevalent on the teams that won’t be present during the playoffs.  It’s fourth and very long.  We sample five Hail Marys and the like below.

  1. Texan’s safety Justin Reid is done for the season after suffering a hand injury in Sunday’s 36-7 loss to the Chicago Bears, a source confirmed to ESPN on Monday.  Their number one cornerback Bradley Roby was suspended for the final five games of the season for violating the NFL’s policy on performance-enhancing substances. Cornerback Gareon Conley has been on injured reserve all season, and they were without cornerbacks Phillip Gaines and rookie John Reid because of injuries.   When a secondary can make Mitch Trubisky look good you’ve got problems.  And, the Texans at 4-9 have plenty of problems.
  2. As he prepares for the final three games of the season — and perhaps his New York Jets career — Sam Darnold said Monday that he still envisions himself as the franchise’s long-term solution at quarterback.  Of course, he does.  His agent told him to say just that.  The 0-13 Jets envision yet another fresh start.  And, it’s one without Darnold at QB and Gase as the head coach.
  3.  Gardner Minshew is back as the Jacksonville Jaguars’ starting quarterback.The Jaguars (1-12) have lost 12 games in a row, and coach Doug Marrone said he’s going to do whatever it takes to snap that streak and win the remaining three games.  Pride is good, isn’t it?  Minshew got plenty of praise at the end of last year and the first game of this one.  In between that, he hasn’t gotten much.  Mike Glennon and Jake Luton have started all of the games in between.  Who and who?
  4. The Eagles have a 109 million dollar problem.  They benched quarterback Carson Wentz last week after his season-long struggles. Jalen Hurts ran for over one hundred yards in his first career start and threw well enough to beat a very good New Orleans defense to earn a second start over the $109 million dollar man. Wentz is a former first-round pick and rumors have it that he’s been disenfranchised with the franchise ever since they chose Hurts in round two this past spring.  Should we say that the move they made hurts his feelings?  Ahem.
  5.  And, how ’bout dem Cowboys?  On a day when Stephen Jones said head coach Mike McCarthy will return in 2021, defensive coordinator Mike Nolan said he has not given thought to his future as the Cowboys’ defense has struggled this season, allowing the most points and rushing yards in the NFL so far. “I just take it a day at a time anyway,” he said. “I’d prefer not to answer the question just because it’s not what’s on my mind.”  Picking Cee Dee Lamb in round one looks like that Cadillac in the driveway when you needed a few Ford trucks upfront on D.   Steve and Jerry got caught up trying to keep up with the Joneses when the defensive side of the ball was in great need.  Now, Nolan will be the sacrificial lamb for the pick of Lamb and other personnel moves gone wrong for the franchise.  Remember, in Dallas, the Joneses are never wrong.

The good news for most of the above is that they’ll be put out of their misery in a few short weeks.

The bad news for future picks for some of the teams above is that the endless cycle of mediocrity will continue.

Ten Piece Nuggets-Sports

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

On yesterday’s road trip to diversity, we got hungry.  The drive from Portland to Madison has 2000 mile markers and very few restaurants.  We yearned for nuggets.  You know the feeling.  It’s fast food for the sports-minded.  Have ten below on us.

  1.  The Pittsburgh Steelers blew a 14 point halftime lead and eventually fell to the visiting Washington Football Team last night on MNF.  The Steelers seldom lose at home, and have only lost one game in the 22 years prior at home when leading by 14 or more.  And, poof goes the last undefeated team in the NFL this year.  Don Shula (RIP) and his 1972 undefeated Miami Dolphins can rest easy for at least one more year.
  2.  After the Steelers’ loss who owns the longest winning streak in the NFL now? It’s the New Orleans Saints with nine and counting.  The New York Football Giants are next with four while the Washington Football Team is third with three.  In the NFL you are either getting better or getting run over.  Suddenly two NFC East teams have come alive.
  3. Washington Football Team coach Ron Rivera fought cancer this year. When he entered the then Redskins offices he fought incompetence, complacency, good ole boys, a talent void, and a losing culture.  He’s a bit old school, a fighter, and maybe the most underrated head coach in the league.  After a 1-5 start they stand at 5-7 with four games remaining. They have the 49ers, Seahawks, Panthers (his old team), and the Eagles left.  An 8-8 record certainly is within reach.
  4. The Minnesota Vikings also started 1-5.  At home this past Sunday they needed overtime to defeat the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars.  In the NFL they don’t count how, they count how many.  The Vikings evened their record at 6-6.  Head coach Mike Zimmer is a bit old school, a fighter, and maybe the most underrated head coach in the league.  Where have you heard that before?    The Bucs, Bears, Saints, and Lions are their final four down the regular-season stretch.  It’s a team no one would like to play if they get to the expanded playoff format.
  5.  Don’t look now but the New England Patriots are 6-6 after back to back wins with Cam Newton throwing for under a hundred yards in each of the games. The Rams, Dolphins, Bills, and Jets remain.  That’s a tall task with a shaky QB.  Does anyone doubt Bill Belichick can do it?  Computer simulations give the Patriots a 14% chance of making the playoffs.  Does Belichick even own a computer?
  6. One day after his ill-advised, all-out blitz failed to take down the opposing quarterback on the game-deciding play, New York Jets defensive coordinator Gregg Williams was sacked by coach Adam Gase in a Monday morning meeting that lasted nearly an hour.  DC Williams called the exact same aggressive and foolish play in the 2011 NFC Division Championship game sending the Saints to a last-second loss in San Fran.  At 0-12, Adam Gase will collect a paycheck for only four more weeks than the DC he fired yesterday.  Sam Darnold will need a new address too.  The Jets fell in love with Trevor Lawrence months ago.
  7. Who benefitted from Williams’s moronic call in 2011 in Candlestick Park?  Jim Harbaugh.  He was the AP Coach of the Year that year for San Francisco.  By 2014 he had worn out his welcome on the left coast and headed east to Ann Arbor, MI for a lot of green and greener pastures.  Fast forward to 2020 and Harbaugh is either in the beginning, middle, or end of the end as the Wolverines coach.  He’s 1-6 on the year and 0-5 lifetime against this weekend’s rival opponent THE Ohio St. Buckeyes.  THE is favored by a whopping 28 points.
  8. Harbaugh’s teams in college have won 68% of their games.  What percent of the games have his NFL teams won?  Sixty-eight percent.  It takes an unlikeable, polarizing guy to have to leave before he is asked to do so with that type of winning percentage.  That’s Harbaugh, khakis and all.  It says here that this is his last game at Michigan too.
  9.  Vegas loves it when the public sees the obvious.  Big favorites over bad teams are the best of the best for Sin City.  Last week there were four double-digit dogs in the NFL.  The Jets covered and blew the outright win on the aforementioned last play.  The Broncos covered easily.  The Giants won straight up.  And Cincinnati lost by 12 as an 11 point underdog.  There’s a reason there is so much marble and gold on The Strip.
  10. Speaking of which a few lines that are interesting, Coastal Carolina is favored by 13.5 at Troy.  Surely there is a letdown after the win over BYU at home with College GameDay present is there? Yes.   Bama is a 31.5 road favorite over Arkansas after they beatdown LSU.  Is there ever a letdown by a Nick Saban coached team? No.

You read.  You got fed.  Now, get busy.

Lions, Turkeys, and Culture

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Week 13 for the NFL is upon us.  Thirteen’s a lucky number and the NFL has been/was lucky to have this pandemic year schedule of theirs roll along for the most part uninterrupted by that damn thing that we can’t see, but certainly can feel.

With everyone walking on eggshells the season is anything but normal due to the virus.  But on the field, some franchises remind us weekly of who they’ve been, who they are, and who they’ll likely continue to be.

It began normally enough on Thanksgiving Day with a Houston Texans 41-25 rout over the perennial doormat Detroit Lions.  The Lions have looked like turkeys forever really.

It ended, strangely enough, yesterday with a Wednesday mid-afternoon game that Pittsburgh won over Baltimore 19-13.  That game was originally scheduled for turkey day night.  Covid-19 hit the Ravens team again and again and again causing it to move and move and move again.  That Pittsburgh won is normal too.  They’re 12-0 this year.

The Detroit listless loss was the final nail in Head Coach Matt Patrica’s coffin. That’s normal too.  No word on whether he had to turn that pencil from behind his ear into Human Resources on the way out of the door, but we digress.  The Lions have had 17 head coaches come and go since Super Bowl I in 1967.  And, the Lions have participated in exactly zero of said Super Bowls.

The Pittsburgh win had Head Coach Mike Tomlin fuming afterward.  He’s seen better.  In fact, he’s been the HC for 219 and counting of them and won 144. That’s 67%, or two out of every three if you’re using a #2 Patricia pencil and scoring at home, but we digress again.  The Steelers have had only four coaches in the Super Bowl era.  The Steelers have appeared in eight of them and won the most (tied with NE) with six Lombardi Trophies.

Detroit has won 344 games in the modern era (since 1966) while Pittsburgh has won 490.

You see the picture crystal clear by now, don’t you?

So with league rules designed to make it hard for a good team to remain that way and for a bad team to have a hand up in improving how can one franchise be so abysmal and one exemplary?  After all, the strength of schedules, draft order, revenue sharing, and salary caps are structured in a way to make the league as competitive as possible.  This isn’t the NY Yankees payroll v the Oakland A’s.

It’s leadership.  And leadership establishes culture, doesn’t it?  The Rooney family exudes class and has people who want to work for them.  They spot talent and know value like most no other.

The Ford family?  Apparently not so much.  No head coach of the Lions since 1957 has gone on in the NFL to get a second head coaching stint.  None.  We hope Particia took a note (written in pencil of course) of that before he accepted the gig.   So the slogan went, Ford has a better idea!  Not really.

Bill Parcells is a mentor to this day for Sean Payton.   Payton proudly called and told Parcells that he got his first HC job, that with the inept New Orleans Saints franchise in 2005.  Parcells quipped, “well if you don’t fix the losing culture down there, you’ll be looking for your second one in three years.”

The Saints lacked what Pittsburgh has always had.

The Lions are still looking for it.

 

 

Ten Piece Nuggets-Sports

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

We pause our series on specific divisions within the NFL to bring you some Monday morning nuggets.  But there is plenty of the NFL in the nuggets. There’s a Pope, too.  Start your Monday off right, consume away.

  1. In an unprecedented meeting, a delegation of five NBA players and several officials from the National Basketball Players Association are at the Vatican this Monday morning for a private audience with Pope Francis to discuss their work on social justice issues.  This was at the Pope’s behest.   It’s another blast of fresh air to keep the social justice platform flying and it’s the most outspoken pope jumping into the limelight yet again.  Now if he could take measures to minimize those pesky pedophile priests that he “hires,” but we digress.
  2. One day after Florida State abruptly postponed its scheduled game against Clemson because of a positive COVID-19 test among the Tigers’ roster, Dabo Swinney lambasted FSU’s administration for the decision.  “This game was not canceled because of COVID,” Swinney said. “COVID was just an excuse to cancel the game. To me, the Florida State administration forfeited the game.”  Dabo tends to color outside of the lines a bit.  He never hesitates to “give all the glory to the Lord” either.  If he doesn’t get the Bama gig post-Saban maybe he’s on a shortlist to be the next pope, but we digress again.
  3. Speaking of Alabama, while many other big-time programs leak oil all over the 2020 track, the Tide just keeps the pedal to the metal.  Nick Saban is the engine that never needs a tune-up.  They remain ranked numero uno in the latest AP top 25 after a 63-3 mud stomp of the Kentucky Wildcats Saturday.  They haven’t been tested in five weeks.  The Iron Bowl v # 22 Auburn might be (MIGHT BE) a test and is only five days away.
  4. Did you have both Cincinnatti and BYU undefeated and ranked inside of the top ten in the AP Top 25 as we enter the home stretch in NCAA football before the season started?  No, you didn’t.  Cincy survived and gutted out a win late over a hungry and always ready UCF Saturday.  BYU had a glorified practice against North Alabama.  BYU might have the best QB in the country this year in Zach Wilson and that is saying something with guys named Jones, Fields, Lawrence, and Trask slinging it around.
  5.  Did you have Penn St at 0-5 and dead last in the Big 10 East and Northwestern at 5-0 and alone in first in the Big 10 West?  No, you didn’t.  Penn St lost last week to Nebraska who this week got worked by Illinois.  As an encore, the Nittany Lions gave up 41 getting blasted by Iowa in (not so) Happy Valley.  Wisconsin scored a meager 7 points in 60 minutes against a stout NW defense.  The Badgers coughed the ball up five times in all and four in the first half alone.  Northwestern only scored 17 themselves, but that was nine more than needed.
  6. Turning to the NFL, this staff reporter was assigned to the Saints v Falcons contest in the Superdome where 6000 faithful masked and watched the Saints D turn in its third straight sterling effort.  Falcons QB Matty Ryan is sore this AM.  Cam Jordan sacked him three ( and now 21 times in his career) of the eight times the Saints D sacked him altogether.  The Saints’ offense only mustered 24 points in Taysom Hill’s first NFL start.  Taysom is 31 but had more fun out there than a kid.  But, it was 14 more than needed when you hold the formerly high flying Falcons O to just three field goals.  Remember, two weeks ago Tom Brady and the Bucs only got one field goal at home against NO.
  7. The New Orleans win coupled with the Green Bay loss to Indy flipped the race for the NFC one seed.  NO is 8-2 while GB slipped to 7-3.  Seattle is also 7-3.  Don’t look now but the LA Rams are 6-3, also playing strong on defense, and face 7-3 Tampa Bay in FL tonight on MNF.
  8. Upsets ruled the day.  The aforementioned Indianapolis team trailed 28-14 at the half but won 34-31.  The Titans beat the now limping Ravens in Baltimore.  And Tua sat for quarter number four in Denver as Ryan Fitzpatrick tried to rally the Dolphins.  His late pick secured the win for Denver 20-13.
  9. After Kansas City held off the Vegas Raiders that leaves the exciting AFC playoff picture, well, even more exciting.  Pitt is 10-0 while KC is 9-1.  Indy and Tennessee are tied virtually at 7-3 in the South, while Buffalo leads the East at 7-3, all the while that Cleveland is somehow 7-3.  Losers from yesterday, Miami, Vegas, and Baltimore are all 6-4.
  10. Everyone knew that Joe Burrow would need to break a leg to prop up the woeful Cincinnati Bengals when he was drafted #1 overall last spring.  Their D is porous.  And, their O line is a sieve. Ranked 29th by Pro Football Focus in pass protection metrics, yesterday against the Washington Football Team the Cincy offensive line lived down to its reputation.  And, down went Burrow.  He was sacked and so was his season.  He did indeed break a leg.  Or, at least his ACL.  An MRI will tell the severity of the injury later today.  That’s sad, just like the Bengals franchise.

Happy Monday.  It’s a short week at least.

 

 

After Further Review- AFC North

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Did the new NFL playoff expanded format for 2020 and beyond slip right by you?

The NFL changed its highly approved of, very fair, and long-standing playoff tradition.  It’s the first playoff format change since 1990.

John Madden used to say that December football was different than the months prior.  He said it’s because good teams turn up the effort and solidify their playoff spots or division championships, while average to bad teams play out the string.

Seven teams out of 16 in each conference now make the postseason tourney.  With five or six games left, the possibilities are numerous.

As Thanksgiving approaches, we decided to take a few days this week and next to take a team by team look at each division to separate the contenders from the pretenders.

That series continues today with a look at the AFC North.

The Past

– Pittsburgh is one of, if not the model franchise in the NFL and for that matter all of sports.  One family has owned it for its existence.  The Steelers have had only three head coaches (Noll, Cowher, and Tomlin) since 1969.  They have won six Super Bowls in the modern era tied with the NE Patriots.  Their eight appearances are second only to New England’s 11.

– The Baltimore Ravens (once they moved from Cleveland) have been worthy adversaries to the Steelers for the last twenty years.  Ozzie Newsome is on the shortlist of best GM/ Presidents in the NFL.  They know defensive talent when they see it and they know how to deploy it.

– Cincinnati has had spurts, but has cheap minded ownership hence a nonsustainable model for winning.  Cleveland has been Cleveland.

The Outlook

–  The outlook prior to the season had Baltimore as the frontrunner coming off of their strong 2019 season and returning Lamar Jackson and most all of the pieces of a good to real good D.

– Pittsburgh is always good (see above), but questions about Ben Rothlisberger’s age and health, a continual transition at the skill positions, and at times a leaky D made them a bit of a question mark.

– Cleveland has been assembling talent over the last few years, but had yet to pull it together.  It’s hard to change a multi-decade culture.

– Cincinnatti lacked talent from top to bottom and gave up on Andy Dalton after years of mediocrity at the position.  They had the first pick in last years’ draft for a reason.

The Present

2020 AFC North Standings
TEAM W L T PCT PF PA
Pittsburgh 9 0 0 1.000 271 171
Baltimore 6 3 0 .667 244 165
Cleveland 6 3 0 .667 216 244
Cincinnati 2 6 1 .278 204 250

 

– Raise your hand if you had the Steelers as the lone undefeated team in the NFL a week prior to Thanksgiving.  They’re an average offense statistically, but they’re ranked third overall in team defense, first in special teams, first in third-down conversions on offense, third in turnovers allowed, and second in penalty yards against.  There are a lot of ways to win a game and the Steelers exploit that.

– Raven’s fans might be disappointed sitting at 6-3.  While the division might be out of reach, the losses are to the Chiefs, the Steelers in a close one, and to a desperate at home New England team last week.  The defense is, as it always is, darn good giving up only 18 ppg and ranks first in all of the NFL in overall defensive metrics.

– Browns fans might be ecstatic sitting at 6-3.  But scoring 216 points while giving up 244 is a telling stat.  Their six wins came against Cincinnati (twice) Washington, Dallas, Houston, and Indy (the lone quality win).  Their offense has been held to six points by the Ravens and the Raiders, and to seven by the Steelers.

– Cincinnati isn’t good enough to win many games, and they haven’t.  Jimmies and Joes usually beat x’s and o’s. And Cincinnatti only has one Joe worth mentioning and that is Joe Burrow.  He needs an offensive line and soon and he’ll be able to will them to more victories.  And Cincy needs plenty more Jimmies on D.

The Prediction(s)

– The Steelers will lose somewhere along the way.  Don Shula, RIP, will smile from above. The Ravens visit on Thanksgiving night.  But very often a front runner like this 9-0 team is destined for the number one seed and a deep playoff run.  We’re calling the Steelers 14-2, North Division Champions, and the number one AFC seed.  But, we think they’ll fall a bit shy of yet another Super Bowl appearance.

– The Ravens are tough to gauge.  Playing from ahead they are one tough team.  If they trail can Lamar and company win one big one when they need to do so?  They have the Browns, Bengals, Cowboys, Football Team, and the Giants left along with the Titans and the Steelers.  11-5 (our bet) seems like a lock and 12-4 is possible.  Will they be the highest rated wild card seed come January?  From there?  We see one wild card win, then a loss.

–  We’ll fade the Browns.  The only game that we see as an outright win left is the Jets.  The other six, Jaguars and Giants included, will be tough for them.  And, the lockerroom is only a match light away from a dumpster fire.  We see 8-8 for the Browns and another cold winter on Lake Erie.

– The Bengals will “scrap you for a ball” as one Lester Miles used to say about some other Bengals.  They just don’t have enough scrappers.  If Burrow remains upright through December we see a 2-1 run through Washington, Dallas, and the NY Giants.  They’s bow to the Steelers, Ravens, and Miami.  Week 16 is at Houston, and given that mess, we’d call it a toss-up.  Mark us down for 5-10-1 and mark the Bengals down for better things ahead in 2021 and 2022.

 

Abby will weigh in with her picks tomorrow.

But a road trip for the BBR staff to NOLA could make the writing cloudy to nonexistent Monday and Tuesday.

 

After Further Review- AFC East

Posted on by thependulumswings staff

Did the new NFL playoff expanded format for 2020 and beyond slip right by you?

The NFL changed its highly approved of, very fair, and long-standing playoff tradition.  It’s the first playoff format change since 1990.

John Madden used to say that December football was different than the months prior.  He said it’s because good teams turn up the effort and solidify their playoff spots or division championships, while average to bad teams play out the string.

Seven teams out of 16 in each conference now make the postseason tourney.  With five or six games left, the possibilities are numerous.

As Thanksgiving approaches, we decided to take a few days this week and next to take a team by team look at each division to separate the contenders from the pretenders.

That series begins today with a look at the AFC East.

The Past

-No it’s not true that the division was renamed this year the AFC East as it was formerly known as the New England Patriots Playground.

-New England won the division 17 of nineteen years since 2001.  Bill Belichick and Tom Brady broke numerous records as a paired coach and QB.

The Outlook

– With Brady long gone the division appeared wide open (except for the dreadful Jets) for the taking in 2020.

-The Bills have been slowly but steadily improving, earning a wild card spot in 2017 and 2019 by building a nice team with a developing Josh Allen at QB.

-Miami traded everything not nailed down two years ago for future assets as well as last year to build from the ground up.  It beats being directionless and some parts were thought to be in place.

The Present

2020 AFC East Standings
TEAM W L T   PCT   PF PA
Buffalo 7 3 0 .700 272 265
Miami 6 3 0 .667 251 182
New England 4 5 0 .444 189 211
New York 0 9 0 .000 121 268

 

– The division is indeed wide open (except for the very dreadful Jets) with New England struggling.  Cam Newton is no Tom Brady.  The recent past two drafts for NE have been short on picks and shorter on developed talent.

–  The Bills enter the bye week with a slim 1/2 game lead, but feel like they are playing catch up.  They had the Sunday game in hand until the Cardinal’s Kyler Murray threw a prayer with seconds remaining and DeAndre Hopkins answered it.  Their D isn’t what it was even just last year, but is showing some tenacity on third downs and creating turnovers.

–  Here come the Dolphins! Five weeks into the season their number one draft pick Tua Tagovailoa hadn’t been under center for one snap.  A week later he entered for mop-up duty against the (have we called them dreadful enough) Jets.  He took the reins during the bye week.  Fast forward three weeks and Tua is three and ohhh so energetic as a starter.  A 1-3 Dolphins September is suddenly a 6-3 season to date after running off five straight wins.  One win was against a good Cardinals team that just delivered on the Hail Mary v Buffalo.

– Never count a Bill Belichick team out.  Repeat.  Never.  For years observers close to the league wondered, Brady aside, how much talent did the Patriots really have? This year they found out.  Not too much.  But.  “Coach said it best — we are a good enough team to be better than what our record kind of displays. We’re just finding that out,” Newton relayed in his weekly interview on sports radio WEEI on Monday morning.  Julian Edelman is nearing full health.  His return should give Cam a very valuable target to add to the up and down offense.  NE can square their record at 5-5 v the woeful Houston Texans this week.  What was the Super Bowl Champion Patriots record after 10 games in 2001, Brady’s first year as a full-time starter?   it was 5-5.

– The Jets are, well, dreadful.  Their record this season speaks for itself.  When you are getting outscored by a 268-121 margin thus far you’re in line for the very first pick of the 2021 draft.  The Jets always pick early, always.  They have question marks from top to bottom in their organization.   You can’t answer the questions at the bottom until you answer the questions at the very top.

The Prediction(s)

– The Buffalo Bills have an easier schedule than the Dolphins and will hold on to win the East at 11-5.  The week off comes at just the right time.  Some physical healing is needed and some mental short term memory loss is as well.  If it’s still up for debate, they host Miami on 12/3, the last regular-season game.  Advantage Bills.

-The surging Dolphins will complete their franchise turnaround a year (at least) earlier than thought and secure a wild card birth at 10-6.  They have three easy (if there is such a thing) games coming up then finish tough (v Chiefs, v Patriots, at Raiders, at Bills.)  Ask the team management now if they would be pleased with 10-6 and a wild card slot.  You bet.

–  The Patriots will continue to win some that you wonder how they did (Belichick game plans like no other) and lose a couple that they wish they hadn’t (is Cam Newton reliable at a high NFL level anymore?) to finish 8-8.

– The Jets’ best chance to win one game this year likely comes this weekend.  They travel three times zones to play the 2-7 Los Angeles Chargers.  The Jets are road dogs by 9.  Vegas has them as a double-digit dog in every other game they have left.  It says here that they will finish a, wait for it, dreadful 0-16.  J-E-T-S.  Jets.  Jets.  Jets!

Next, we tackle the AFC North.